All portfolio-allocation decisions are made by computerized quantitative models.
Algorithmic trading strategies
The success of computerized strategies is largely driven by their ability to simultaneously process volumes of information, something ordinary human traders cannot do. Market making involves placing a limit order to sell or offer above the current market price or a buy limit order or bid below the current price on a regular and continuous basis to capture the bid-ask spread. Another set of HFT strategies in classical arbitrage strategy might involve several securities such as covered interest rate parity in the foreign exchange market which gives a relation between the prices of a domestic bond, a bond denominated in a foreign currency, the spot price of the currency, and the price of a forward contract on the currency.
If the market prices are different enough from those implied in the model to cover transaction cost then four transactions can be made to guarantee a risk-free profit.
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HFT allows similar arbitrages using models of greater complexity involving many more than 4 securities. A wide range of statistical arbitrage strategies have been developed whereby trading decisions are made on the basis of deviations from statistically significant relationships. Like market-making strategies, statistical arbitrage can be applied in all asset classes. A subset of risk, merger, convertible, or distressed securities arbitrage that counts on a specific event, such as a contract signing, regulatory approval, judicial decision, etc.
Merger arbitrage also called risk arbitrage would be an example of this. Merger arbitrage generally consists of buying the stock of a company that is the target of a takeover while shorting the stock of the acquiring company. Usually the market price of the target company is less than the price offered by the acquiring company.
The spread between these two prices depends mainly on the probability and the timing of the takeover being completed, as well as the prevailing level of interest rates. The bet in a merger arbitrage is that such a spread will eventually be zero, if and when the takeover is completed. The risk is that the deal "breaks" and the spread massively widens. One strategy that some traders have employed, which has been proscribed yet likely continues, is called spoofing.
It is the act of placing orders to give the impression of wanting to buy or sell shares, without ever having the intention of letting the order execute to temporarily manipulate the market to buy or sell shares at a more favorable price. This is done by creating limit orders outside the current bid or ask price to change the reported price to other market participants. The trader can subsequently place trades based on the artificial change in price, then canceling the limit orders before they are executed.
The trader then executes a market order for the sale of the shares they wished to sell. The trader subsequently cancels their limit order on the purchase he never had the intention of completing. Quote stuffing is a tactic employed by malicious traders that involves quickly entering and withdrawing large quantities of orders in an attempt to flood the market, thereby gaining an advantage over slower market participants. HFT firms benefit from proprietary, higher-capacity feeds and the most capable, lowest latency infrastructure.
Researchers showed high-frequency traders are able to profit by the artificially induced latencies and arbitrage opportunities that result from quote stuffing. Network-induced latency, a synonym for delay, measured in one-way delay or round-trip time, is normally defined as how much time it takes for a data packet to travel from one point to another.
Joel Hasbrouck and Gideon Saar measure latency based on three components: the time it takes for 1 information to reach the trader, 2 the trader's algorithms to analyze the information, and 3 the generated action to reach the exchange and get implemented. Low-latency traders depend on ultra-low latency networks. They profit by providing information, such as competing bids and offers, to their algorithms microseconds faster than their competitors. This is due to the evolutionary nature of algorithmic trading strategies — they must be able to adapt and trade intelligently, regardless of market conditions, which involves being flexible enough to withstand a vast array of market scenarios.
Most of the algorithmic strategies are implemented using modern programming languages, although some still implement strategies designed in spreadsheets. Increasingly, the algorithms used by large brokerages and asset managers are written to the FIX Protocol's Algorithmic Trading Definition Language FIXatdl , which allows firms receiving orders to specify exactly how their electronic orders should be expressed.
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More complex methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo have been used to create these models. Algorithmic trading has been shown to substantially improve market liquidity [74] among other benefits. However, improvements in productivity brought by algorithmic trading have been opposed by human brokers and traders facing stiff competition from computers. Technological advances in finance, particularly those relating to algorithmic trading, has increased financial speed, connectivity, reach, and complexity while simultaneously reducing its humanity.
Computers running software based on complex algorithms have replaced humans in many functions in the financial industry. Finance is essentially becoming an industry where machines and humans share the dominant roles — transforming modern finance into what one scholar has called, "cyborg finance". While many experts laud the benefits of innovation in computerized algorithmic trading, other analysts have expressed concern with specific aspects of computerized trading.
Williams said. But with these systems you pour in a bunch of numbers, and something comes out the other end, and it's not always intuitive or clear why the black box latched onto certain data or relationships. In its annual report the regulator remarked on the great benefits of efficiency that new technology is bringing to the market. But it also pointed out that 'greater reliance on sophisticated technology and modelling brings with it a greater risk that systems failure can result in business interruption'.
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UK Treasury minister Lord Myners has warned that companies could become the "playthings" of speculators because of automatic high-frequency trading. Lord Myners said the process risked destroying the relationship between an investor and a company. Other issues include the technical problem of latency or the delay in getting quotes to traders, [78] security and the possibility of a complete system breakdown leading to a market crash. They have more people working in their technology area than people on the trading desk The nature of the markets has changed dramatically.
This issue was related to Knight's installation of trading software and resulted in Knight sending numerous erroneous orders in NYSE-listed securities into the market. This software has been removed from the company's systems. Clients were not negatively affected by the erroneous orders, and the software issue was limited to the routing of certain listed stocks to NYSE. Algorithmic and high-frequency trading were shown to have contributed to volatility during the May 6, Flash Crash, [33] [35] when the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged about points only to recover those losses within minutes.
At the time, it was the second largest point swing, 1, And this almost instantaneous information forms a direct feed into other computers which trade on the news. The algorithms do not simply trade on simple news stories but also interpret more difficult to understand news. Some firms are also attempting to automatically assign sentiment deciding if the news is good or bad to news stories so that automated trading can work directly on the news story.
His firm provides both a low latency news feed and news analytics for traders. Passarella also pointed to new academic research being conducted on the degree to which frequent Google searches on various stocks can serve as trading indicators, the potential impact of various phrases and words that may appear in Securities and Exchange Commission statements and the latest wave of online communities devoted to stock trading topics. So the way conversations get created in a digital society will be used to convert news into trades, as well, Passarella said.
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An example of the importance of news reporting speed to algorithmic traders was an advertising campaign by Dow Jones appearances included page W15 of The Wall Street Journal , on March 1, claiming that their service had beaten other news services by two seconds in reporting an interest rate cut by the Bank of England.
In late , The UK Government Office for Science initiated a Foresight project investigating the future of computer trading in the financial markets, [86] led by Dame Clara Furse , ex-CEO of the London Stock Exchange and in September the project published its initial findings in the form of a three-chapter working paper available in three languages, along with 16 additional papers that provide supporting evidence. Released in , the Foresight study acknowledged issues related to periodic illiquidity, new forms of manipulation and potential threats to market stability due to errant algorithms or excessive message traffic.
However, the report was also criticized for adopting "standard pro-HFT arguments" and advisory panel members being linked to the HFT industry. A traditional trading system consists primarily of two blocks — one that receives the market data while the other that sends the order request to the exchange.
However, an algorithmic trading system can be broken down into three parts:.
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Exchange s provide data to the system, which typically consists of the latest order book, traded volumes, and last traded price LTP of scrip. The server in turn receives the data simultaneously acting as a store for historical database. The data is analyzed at the application side, where trading strategies are fed from the user and can be viewed on the GUI. Once the order is generated, it is sent to the order management system OMS , which in turn transmits it to the exchange. Gradually, old-school, high latency architecture of algorithmic systems is being replaced by newer, state-of-the-art, high infrastructure, low-latency networks.
The complex event processing engine CEP , which is the heart of decision making in algo-based trading systems, is used for order routing and risk management. With the emergence of the FIX Financial Information Exchange protocol, the connection to different destinations has become easier and the go-to market time has reduced, when it comes to connecting with a new destination. With the standard protocol in place, integration of third-party vendors for data feeds is not cumbersome anymore.
Automated trading must be operated under automated controls, since manual interventions are too slow or late for real-time trading in the scale of micro- or milli-seconds. A trading desk or firm therefore must develop proper automated control frameworks to address all possible risk types, ranging from principal capital risks, fat-finger errors, counter-party credit risks, market-disruptive trading strategies such as spoofing or layering, to client-hurting unfair internalization or excessive usage of toxic dark pools.
Market regulators such as the Bank of England and the European Securities and Markets Authority have published supervisory guidance specifically on the risk controls of algorithmic trading activities, e. In response, there also have been increasing academic or industrial activities devoted to the control side of algorithmic trading. One of the more ironic findings of academic research on algorithmic trading might be that individual trader introduce algorithms to make communication more simple and predictable, while markets end up more complex and more uncertain.
However, on the macro-level, it has been shown that the overall emergent process becomes both more complex and less predictable. Though its development may have been prompted by decreasing trade sizes caused by decimalization, algorithmic trading has reduced trade sizes further. Jobs once done by human traders are being switched to computers. The speeds of computer connections, measured in milliseconds and even microseconds , have become very important.
Economies of scale in electronic trading have contributed to lowering commissions and trade processing fees, and contributed to international mergers and consolidation of financial exchanges. Competition is developing among exchanges for the fastest processing times for completing trades. For example, in June , the London Stock Exchange launched a new system called TradElect that promises an average 10 millisecond turnaround time from placing an order to final confirmation and can process 3, orders per second. This is of great importance to high-frequency traders, because they have to attempt to pinpoint the consistent and probable performance ranges of given financial instruments.
With high volatility in these markets, this becomes a complex and potentially nerve-wracking endeavor, where a small mistake can lead to a large loss. Absolute frequency data play into the development of the trader's pre-programmed instructions. In the U. Algorithmic trading has caused a shift in the types of employees working in the financial industry. For example, many physicists have entered the financial industry as quantitative analysts.
Some physicists have even begun to do research in economics as part of doctoral research.